Advances in Decision Sciences (ADS)

Moments of Phase-type Aging Modeling for Health Dependent Costs

Moments of Phase-type Aging Modeling for Health Dependent Costs

Title

MOMENTS OF PHASE-TYPE AGING MODELING FOR HEALTH DEPENDENT COSTS

Authors

Abstract

In this paper, we use a discrete time Phase-type process to model the health care cost of aninsurance contract by considering all possible critical health states of an individual with
constant interest rate. From the moment generating function of the NPV, we derive a recursive
formula of this Markov Reward Model (MRM).

Keywords

Health dependent costs, Net present value, Phase-type aging process, Markov reward model, Recursive moments

Classification-JEL

C650, I130

Pages

37-64

https://doi.org/10.47654/v23y2019i2p37-64

Exit mobile version