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Advances in Decision Sciences (ADS)

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The Impact of General Election 2018 on Stock Prices: Evidence from Emerging Economy

The Impact of General Election 2018 on Stock Prices: Evidence from Emerging Economy

Title

The Impact of General Election 2018 on Stock Prices:
Evidence from Emerging Economy

Authors

  • Mosab I. Tabash
    College of Business, Al Ain University, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates
  • Musla Valappil
    Department of Commerce &Management Studies,
    Farook College (Autonomous), Kozhikode, India
  • Uzma Iqbal
    Department of Management Sciences, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad, Pakistan
  • Umar Farooq
    School of Economics and Finance, Xi’an Jiaotong University, P. R. China
    Research Fellow, Department of Economics University of Religions and Denominations, Qom, Iran

Abstract

Objective: This study investigates the impact of the General Election 2018 on the stock prices of firms listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX).
Methodology: A random sample of 50 firms from the PSX was selected to analyze the effects of this political event. The research timeline spans 100 days before and 100 days after the election, allowing for a comprehensive examination of stock price dynamics. To conduct the analysis, a fixed effect model was employed for regression analysis.
Results: The results of this study indicate a noteworthy negative response in the stock prices of companies listed on the PSX following the General Election 2018. This adverse impact can be attributed to the prevailing investor insecurity regarding the performance of these companies, which, in turn, has reduced interest in equity securities. Consequently, the stock performance of listed companies has declined during the specified time frame.
Implications: The empirical analysis presented in this research sheds light on the correlation between political events and stock prices and offers valuable insights for formulating equity investment and stock management policies. This study, therefore, serves as a vital contribution to the existing literature by providing innovative empirical evidence on the intricate relationship between political events, investor sentiment, and stock prices in the specific context of Pakistan’s General Election 2018.
Novelty: It offers a deeper understanding of how political dynamics affect the financial markets and the implications for investors and policymakers.

Keywords

Stock Prices, Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), General Election, Stock Performance

Classification-JEL

G14, E44, P16

Pages

90-113

How to Cite

I. Tabash, M. ., Valappil, M., Iqbal, U., & Farooq, U. (2024). The Impact of General Election 2018 on Stock Prices: Evidence from Emerging Economy. Advances in Decision Sciences, 27(4), 90-113.

https://doi.org/10.47654/v27y2023i4p90-113

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ISSN 2090-3359 (Print)
ISSN 2090-3367 (Online)

Asia University, Taiwan

Scientific and Business World

8.3
2024CiteScore
 
88th percentile
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SCImago Journal & Country Rank
Q2 in Scopus
CiteScore 2024 = 8.3
CiteScoreTracker 2025 = 7.9
SNIP 2024 = 0.632
SJR Quartile = Q1
SJR 2024 = 0.814
H-Index = 18

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